Saturday, February 1, 2014

Mr. Armchair's 2014 Super Bowl Prop Bet Preview

So every year I always lay down some coin on the novelty Super Bowl Prop bets.  It's a good way to make the game more entertaining, while potentially making some cash.  I normally only put a buck or two down on some of the fun ones; nothing too costly.  I don't like risking too much on what color Gatorade will be dumped on the head coach (will get to that one in a minute).

So now here is the Mr. Armchair Prop Bet Preview -


1.  Super Bowl MVP -

Wes Welker, WR Denver  28/1 - $1.00 to win $28.00
Doug Baldwin, WR Seattle  40/1 - $1.00 to win $40.00

QB's are always the favorite to win Super Bowl MVP, that is why the odds are always so bad.  It's not worth even putting down the dollar.  We all know that if Denver wins Peyton will be a garuanteed lock to win the Super Bowl MVP, and the same can most likely be said for Russell Wilson if Seattle wins.  So why not shoot for the moon here and possibly score huge?

2.  Who will the Super Bowl MVP mention first in his speech?

Teammates 1/1 - $1.00 to win $1.00
God 3/1 - $1.00 to win $3.00

This one I had to do two bets to cover each team.  I'm assuming here that either Manning or Wilson will win the MVP Award if their team's win.  If Manning wins, he will most likely thank his teammates first.  Last time Manning won the Super Bowl and the MVP Award, he thanked his teammates first in his speech (YouTube verified).  If Wilson wins, he is a noted Christian and loves God, thanks him all the time.  He will most surely thank God first in his speech.

3.  What color will the Gatorade be that is dumped on the Head Coach of the winning Super Bowl team?

Orange 5/4 - $1.00 to win $1.25
Blue 8/1 - $1.00 to win $8.00

I normally side with what are the team colors or jersey colors.  In this case, I really like the Blue bet here because if Denver wins, orange and blue are both in the teams color scheme, and Seattle will be dawning their road blue jersey.  Denver is also in their home orange jerseys, hence the hedging of orange and blue.

4.  Will Richard Sherman receive a pass interference penalty in the game?

Yes +150 - $1.00 to win $1.50

Seattle plays a ton of bump and run man coverage, and their DB's are big and physical.  It's what makes them a great defense, but it also makes them accessible to drawing a lot of PI penalties.  Sherman himself is good for at least one PI penalty called on him.

5.  Will any member of the Red Hot Chilli Peppers be shirtless during their performance?

Yes -250 - $1.00 to win $0.40

This is a terrible bet odds wise, but I just couldn't pass it up.  I don't think Flea even owns a shirt.

6.  Will the announcers refer to Russell Wilson being drafted in the MLB?

Yes even - $1.00 to win $1.00

Is Jerome Bettis from Detroit?

7.  How many times will Peyton Manning say "Omaha" during the game?

Over on 27 1/2 -150 - $1.00 to win $0.67

I actually think 271/2 is a bit low.  If Peyton is going to donate to charity again for each time he says "Omaha," he'll definitely run up this tally.

8.  How many times will "Beast Mode" be said during the game?

Over on 2 +110 - $1.00 to win $1.10

Marshawn will be force-fed the ball all game.  He runs hard and will definitely get loose for a couple solid runs.  Joe Buck won't be able to contain himself.

9.  If Renee Fleming wears gloves when she starts singing the US National Anthem, what color will they be?

White +275 - $1.00 to win $2.75

I was originally going to pick black; neutral color that matches with any color dress or accessory.  But the odds were terrible and I thought I could potentially get out to a good start here with the white odds.

10.  Will Knowshon Moreno cry during the singing of the National Anthem?

Yes +135 - $1.00 to win $1.35

If this guy cries during the National Anthem before a regular season Denver v. Tennessee game....

11.  How long will it take Renee Fleming to sing the official US National Anthem?

Over on 2 minutes and 25 seconds +150 - $2.00 to win $3.00

I love this bet!!!  Make it every year and always, ALWAYS, take the over.  This is center stage for any professional singer and with the world watching them.  Plus, Ms. Fleming is an opera singer who may or may not have an orchestra or symphony accompanying her.  This Anthem may last 7 minutes and 15 seconds.

12.  Player to record the 1st Denver Reception in the game?

Julius Thomas, TE 5/1 - $1.00 to win $5.00

Peyton loves his TE's and Thomas was huge for him this season, my yours truly's fantasy team.  He'll want to get him involved early in the game.

13.  Player to record the 1st Seattle Reception in the game?

Zach Miller, TE 6/1 - $1.00 to win $6.00

Same logic for Manning goes for Wilson.

14.  Player to score the first Denver TD in the game?

Knowshon Moreno, RB 5/1 - $1.00 to win $5.00

I'm basing this on attempts.  Denver/Manning hand the ball off a ton when down deep in the Red Zone.  I think Moreno has a good shot of getting into the endzone.

15.  Coin Toss?

Tails -105 - $2.00 to win $1.90

Odds are the same for Heads and Tails, so I go by the rule of "tails never fails."

16.  Longest successful FG in the game?  

Over on 44 1/2 -115 - $1.00 to win $0.87

Denver's Matt Prater and Seattle's Steve Hauchska are money from beyond 45 yards.  One of them will hit one.

17.  Will there be an onside kick attempt in the game?

Yes +225 - $1.00 to win $2.25

I just like the odds on this bet and I think there is a decent chance an onside kick situation could happen.

18.  Distance of the first punt in the game?

Over on 41 1/2 yards - $1.00 to win $0.87

I'm guessing that the first possession for either team will result in a three and out, leaving plenty of field for a long punt attempt.

19.  Will the Halftime show break the record for most watched ever (record Madonna 114 million viewers)

Yes +200 - $1.00 to win $2.00

Fox brought out the heavy-hitters in Bruno Mars and the Red Hot Chilli Peppers.  They got a pretty good shot at breaking the record.

20.  What will happen with the Dow Jones the day after the Super Bowl?

Market up -150, $1.00 to win $0.67

With all of the new commercials and advertising during the Super Bowl, everyone will be trade happy.

21.  Which region will have the higher local TV rating?

Seattle +110, $1.00 to win $1.10

If Seattle and the 12th Man want to prove that they are truly the best fans in the NFL......

22.  Who will be seen first on TV after kickoff?

Pam Oliver, Even, $1.00 to win $1.00

My choices were Pam Oliver or Erin Andrews.  While we all love ourselves some Erin Andrews, Oliver is Fox's lead sideline reporter and will most likely be on Denver's sideline.  They will always be going to her first for sideline reports.


Mr. Armchair Speaking!!!

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